The news that Dinno Rossi is up 48%-47% in latest Rasmussen poll provides us with some hope of taking back the Senate. Incidentally, the news might be even better than the poll numbers would suggest. First, the latest approval numbers show Rossi with a +5 approval rating and Murray with a -2 rating. This is one of the best approval ratings out of the Republican candidates who have been behind their opponents for most of the election.
There is also another very important factor to consider. Rasmussen's party ID breakdown of 39 D 29R and 32 I is identical to the turnout of the 2006 election. That was the worst election for us since Watergate, while 2010 might be the best since 1894. Nobody knows the exact turnout model for this election, but if it is anything close to what Gallup is predicting, we will win all of the Senate races in which the Republican is even or even slightly behind in the polls on election day.