Here we go again. After a full year of grandstanding against another extension of unemployment benefits, some Republicans are ready to cave.
“do
we believe in free-market doctrine, which suggests that extended UI
hurts the economy, or the Keynesian multiplier, which suggests that UI
helps the economy?”
If you ever wondered why it is so hard to cut spending, and more
importantly, to downsize government, look no further than the fight over
extending unemployment benefits.Despite a year full of political parlance concerning budget austerity, many have forgotten that we have only cut $6.67 billion from the FY 2011 $1.049 trillion discretionary budget authority. Even this miniscule cut might be cancelled out by up to $11 billion in emergency disaster spending, which is not subject to the spending caps. Moreover, after just one year of cuts, discretionary spending will steadily rise during each subsequent year, albeit at a slower rate than originally proposed by Obama.
But there is a more salient observation that must be publicized. These miniscule cuts, including the faux baseline cuts, are only applied to 28% of the budget – the part that is funded through the congressional appropriations process. The other parts of the budget are virtually unscathed, even from baseline cuts. To that end, even as we cut a few billion from baseline discretionary spending, we will still add hundreds of billions more in mandatory spending for each subsequent year.
These mandatory programs have created such inveterate dependency constituencies that nobody wants to touch them with a ten-foot pole. Even if we exclude Social Security, Medicare, and veteran’s benefits, there are still almost $800 billion in other mandatory programs, most of which is spent on welfare. This has become the fastest growing part of the budget, yet it will remain completely fortified from any budget control mechanisms.
The Unemployment Insurance (UI) program has been one of the biggest drivers of increased ‘other mandatory spending’. Over the past two years, due to unprecedented 99 weeks of unemployment benefits and bankrupt state unemployment programs, the UI program has cost between $130-160 billion per year, rapidly becoming the fourth largest expenditure (behind Medicaid) in the budget.
Are we prepared to eschew free-market principles, and permanently enshrine UI as part of the entitlement state?