The news that Dinno Rossi is up 48%-47% in latest Rasmussen poll provides us with some hope of taking back the Senate. Incidentally, the news might be even better than the poll numbers would suggest. First, the latest approval numbers show Rossi with a +5 approval rating and Murray with a -2 rating. This is one of the best approval ratings out of the Republican candidates who have been behind their opponents for most of the election.
There is also another very important factor to consider. Rasmussen's party ID breakdown of 39 D 29R and 32 I is identical to the turnout of the 2006 election. That was the worst election for us since Watergate, while 2010 might be the best since 1894. Nobody knows the exact turnout model for this election, but if it is anything close to what Gallup is predicting, we will win all of the Senate races in which the Republican is even or even slightly behind in the polls on election day.
Showing posts with label Rossi. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rossi. Show all posts
Thursday, October 28, 2010
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Latest Polling Update
The liberal media is elated at the latest CNN/Time poll which shows Patty Murray leading Dino Rossi 51-43 in Washington. But wait... before everyone gets all wee-weed up over the latest shocking poll, let's remember that this same polling outfit had Murray up 53-44 a month ago. So there is basically nothing new. CNN along with the Elway poll has consistently had Murray up by unrealistic margins that neither campaign believes.
Here is another crazy result from this poll. While it shows Murray leading by 8 among likely voters, Murray is leading Rossi by just 4 among registered voters. In the polling field, that is the equivalent of saying 4+4=6.
In other good polling news, Pat Toomey has grown his lead by 49-39% according to the latest Rasmussen poll out today. Also, in Nevada, Angle has maintained her 48-46% lead in the latest LVRJ/Mason-Dixon poll.
PA looks to be in the bag. The biggest races we need to focus on are Washington and Nevada. Illinois is also just as close but the truth is I would much rather fight for Rossi and Angle over Mark Kirk. He is the only Senate candidate who I am not sending any money.
Here is another crazy result from this poll. While it shows Murray leading by 8 among likely voters, Murray is leading Rossi by just 4 among registered voters. In the polling field, that is the equivalent of saying 4+4=6.
In other good polling news, Pat Toomey has grown his lead by 49-39% according to the latest Rasmussen poll out today. Also, in Nevada, Angle has maintained her 48-46% lead in the latest LVRJ/Mason-Dixon poll.
PA looks to be in the bag. The biggest races we need to focus on are Washington and Nevada. Illinois is also just as close but the truth is I would much rather fight for Rossi and Angle over Mark Kirk. He is the only Senate candidate who I am not sending any money.
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