So much for Newt Gingrich's prediction that Hoffman can't win and only Scozzafava has a chance. According to a new poll out by the Daily Kooks blog Bill Owens is at 33% Hoffman at 32% and Scozzafava at a mere 21%.
Now I never understood how such a far left partisan organization has suddenly become a legitimate polling outfit. However, this poll does indicate two things. 1, If Hoffman is only down 1% by a liberal biased poll (they always show the Dems over performing) then in reality he is either ahead or very much in the game. The extremists at Moveon.org are sending out desperate emails that liberals need to stop the "Sarah Palin wing of the party" from gaining power. Notice how they are not concerned about the Gingrich wing of the party. 2, Scozzafava is the one who is the third party spoiler, not Hoffman. Both Owens and Scozzafava have lost ground since the last Kos poll, while Hoffman has surged. This is why the Democrats are now targeting Hoffman and ignoring Scozzafava. If she would drop out and Support Hoffman then there is no doubt in anyone's mind that Hoffman would win easily.
At this point it is clear that the motives of the RNC, NRCC, and Gingrich have nothing to do with holding a seat. They are actually the only obstacle to winning the seat. In fact, their only motive to keep spending money on this race is to make sure that Hoffman loses to Owens. This way they can blame the whole debacle on conservatives while sending a message that conservatives are not welcome in any future campaigns. Keep in mind that there is another special congressional election in California where there is a strong candidate, David Harmer who is supported by everyone in the GOP. He is very close to pulling off an upset in this Democrat leaning district. However, without more substantial backing he will probably come up slightly short. The NRCC is spending hundreds of thousands of dollars to lose in election in New York while they can be using that money to win an election in California. They are truly contemptible. Not one more cent for the NRCC or RNC. We must only donate directly to conservative candidates.